Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 4.630652 5.072842 5.565344 6.160094 6.866558 7.689056 8.734693
2025-11-23 4.027753 4.612672 5.316120 6.244854 7.472514 9.094447 11.506448
2025-11-30 3.640256 4.282493 5.092626 6.226726 7.842483 10.192095 14.179732
2025-12-07 3.277318 3.920831 4.757564 5.974955 7.801180 10.649453 16.017983
2025-12-14 2.985063 3.614639 4.451530 5.704700 7.660807 10.888563 17.548321
2025-12-21 2.827754 3.469865 4.344560 5.697742 7.910236 11.820657 20.904525
2025-12-28 2.682304 3.326918 4.222771 5.646953 8.070383 12.626887 24.511141
2026-01-04 2.510260 3.133864 4.011170 5.429636 7.905269 12.753014 26.470620
2026-01-11 2.413274 3.039515 3.935358 5.418108 8.100386 13.674874 31.608722
2026-01-18 2.363196 3.007923 3.948886 5.551583 8.584580 15.402540 41.894428
2026-01-25 2.504203 3.263783 4.424334 6.539576 11.019167 23.519965 121.633233
2026-02-01 2.379576 3.112464 4.240101 6.317351 10.798599 23.798866 145.098265
2026-02-08 2.238744 2.940805 4.030128 6.062820 10.548605 24.216557 188.581564
2026-02-15 2.168993 2.876157 3.994039 6.141393 11.135158 28.290773 545.546189
2026-02-22 2.089846 2.790999 3.915218 6.123824 11.480027 31.890827 4879.701718
2026-03-01 1.980643 2.652123 3.734445 5.878745 11.163120 32.157680 NaN
2026-03-08 1.877252 2.517679 3.553249 5.615481 10.747953 31.680691 NaN
2026-03-15 1.822744 2.458574 3.498600 5.608700 11.054923 35.630143 NaN
2026-03-22 1.765987 2.392860 3.427703 5.559201 11.228782 39.201323 NaN
2026-03-29 1.689156 2.291306 3.287583 5.347322 10.867523 38.744194 NaN
2026-04-05 1.646644 2.243930 3.241444 5.336079 11.131603 43.561902 NaN
2026-04-12 1.626587 2.232249 3.258426 5.466234 11.895726 55.045734 NaN
2026-04-19 1.708321 2.394306 3.608506 6.428115 16.196086 173.821204 NaN